1. FC Kölnvs
1899 Hoffenheim
3 - 2Correct
Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.9%
- Market said
- 61.9%
- Edge
- +12.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.52
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.52
High confidenceEdge +12.0%
Our model73.9%
The market61.9%
The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model82.3%
The market75.8%
- Edge
- +6.5
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model73.9%
The market61.9%
- Edge
- +12.0
- Odds
- 1.52
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model51.8%
The market65.5%
- Edge
- -13.7
- Odds
- 1.45
Draw No Bet
1899 Hoffenheim (DNB)
Miss
Our model50.1%
The market56.5%
- Edge
- -6.4
- Odds
- 1.77
Match Winner
1899 Hoffenheim Win
Miss
Our model41.2%
The market42.4%
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 2.36
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.