1. FC Nürnbergvs
Dynamo Dresden
3 - 0Miss
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 97.6%
- Market said
- 62.6%
- Edge
- +35.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.53
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.53
High confidenceEdge +35.0%
Our model97.6%
The market62.6%
The market underrated this by 35.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +35.0%Miss
Our model97.6%
The market62.6%
- Edge
- +35.0
- Odds
- 1.53
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model73.5%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market58.8%
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.65
Draw No Bet
1. FC Nürnberg (DNB)
Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
1. FC Nürnberg Win
Correct
Our model43.1%
The market46.5%
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 2.15
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.