22 de Juliovs
Santo Domingo
0 - 3Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.9%
- Market said
- 65.4%
- Edge
- +8.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.53
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53
The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
22 de Julio
Santo Domingo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.17
Draw No Bet
Santo Domingo (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.8
- Odds
- 1.50
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.5
- Odds
- 1.53
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Santo Domingo Win
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 1.97
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -5.2
- Odds
- 2.52
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
34.5%
0-1
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.