Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 3 August 2026AI PICK

3 de Noviembre badge3 de NoviembrevsSportivo Carapeguá badgeSportivo Carapeguá

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model57.4%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

3 de Noviembre badge

3 de Noviembre

Attack31
Defence37
Form13
Sportivo Carapeguá badge

Sportivo Carapeguá

Attack44
Defence42
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market69.4%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.44

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Sportivo Carapeguá (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Sportivo Carapeguá Win

Correct
Our model33.8%
The market41.7%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
2.40

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Correct
Our model13.1%
The market15.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.1% · actual

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.