3 de Noviembrevs
Sportivo Carapeguá
0 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.4%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +1.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
3 de Noviembre
Sportivo Carapeguá
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 1.44
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
Sportivo Carapeguá (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Sportivo Carapeguá Win
- Edge
- -7.9
- Odds
- 2.40
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 6.61
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
13.1% · actual
0-0
15.3%
1-1
15.1%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.