Primera División · 13 June 2026AI PICK
A. Italianovs
D. La Serena
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.2%
- Market said
- 61.7%
- Edge
- +1.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 1.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.5
- Odds
- 1.62
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
A. Italiano Win
- Edge
- +6.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
A. Italiano (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-1
8.8% · actual
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.