Primera División badgePrimera División · 25 April 2026AI PICK

A. Italiano badgeA. ItalianovsDeportes Limache badgeDeportes Limache

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+16.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +16.6%
Our model70.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 16.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

A. Italiano badge

A. Italiano

Attack53
Defence45
Form43
Deportes Limache badge

Deportes Limache

Attack77
Defence63
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.6%Correct
Our model70.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+16.6
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model66.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

A. Italiano (DNB)

Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

A. Italiano Win

Miss
Our model44.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.