Primera División · 22 August 2026AI PICK
A. Italianovs
Union La Calera
0 - 0Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 47.8%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
A. Italiano (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.2
- Odds
- 1.56
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.6
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
A. Italiano Win
- Edge
- -13.3
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.