Aarhusvs
Benfica
1 - 3Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 62.8%
- Markets called
- 5 of 5 right
- Final score
- 1 - 3
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.47
MediumEdge -1.4%
Our model62.8%
The market64.2%
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Aarhus
Attack57
Defence46
Form45
Benfica
Attack100
Defence75
Form67
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model77.0%
The market84.0%
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.19
Draw No Bet
Benfica (DNB)
Correct
Our model64.9%
The market77.5%
- Edge
- -12.6
- Odds
- 1.29
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model62.8%
The market64.2%
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 1.47
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model51.8%
The market59.6%
- Edge
- -7.8
- Odds
- 1.60
Match Winner
Benfica Win
Correct
Our model50.0%
The market64.9%
- Edge
- -14.9
- Odds
- 1.54
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.