Serie D badgeSerie D · 12 July 2026AI PICK

ABC badgeABCvsÁguia de Marabá badgeÁguia de Marabá

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+13.2 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +13.2%
Our model62.0%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 13.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

ABC badge

ABC

Attack77
Defence52
Form67
Águia de Marabá badge

Águia de Marabá

Attack80
Defence44
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market82.0%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.2%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market48.8%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

ABC (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.0%Miss
Our model58.5%
The market45.5%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

ABC Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market67.6%
Edge
-25.8
Odds
1.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.