Copa do Nordeste badgeCopa do Nordeste · 30 April 2026AI PICK

ABC badgeABCvsFerroviario badgeFerroviario

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+15.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

ABC Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +15.2%
Our model65.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 15.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

ABC badge

ABC

Attack65
Defence66
Form60
Ferroviario badge

Ferroviario

Attack43
Defence55
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

ABC Win

Edge +15.2%Correct
Our model65.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.1%Correct
Our model59.5%
The market44.4%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

ABC (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model57.3%
The market44.4%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
2.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.