Serie D · 16 August 2026AI PICK
ABCvs
Nacional AM
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 43.3%
- Edge
- +14.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
ABC
Nacional AM
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -17.2
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
ABC (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.5
- Odds
- 2.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 2.20
Match Winner
ABC Win
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.74
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
9.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.