Serie D badgeSerie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

ABC badgeABCvsSousa badgeSousa

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.0%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

ABC Win

Match Winner · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +9.3%
Our model73.0%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

ABC badge

ABC

Attack90
Defence70
Form71
Sousa badge

Sousa

Attack42
Defence49
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

ABC Win

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

ABC (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.6%Close
Our model59.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market45.5%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.22

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

2-0

10.9% · actual

2-1

9.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.