Serie D badgeSerie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

ABECAT Ouvidorense badgeABECAT OuvidorensevsOperario Ferroviario badgeOperario Ferroviario

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +8.2%
Our model55.8%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

ABECAT Ouvidorense badge

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Attack44
Defence41
Form31
Operario Ferroviario badge

Operario Ferroviario

Attack62
Defence40
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.2%Miss
Our model55.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

ABECAT Ouvidorense (DNB)

Correct
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

ABECAT Ouvidorense Win

Correct
Our model44.8%
The market45.5%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.4%
The market11.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.59

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.4%

1-0

10.9%

1-1

10.7%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.