ABECAT Ouvidorensevs
Operario Ferroviario
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +8.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Operario Ferroviario
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
ABECAT Ouvidorense (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
ABECAT Ouvidorense Win
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 2.20
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.59
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
13.4%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.