Premier League badgePremier League · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Abu Qair Semad badgeAbu Qair SemadvsNational Bank of Egypt badgeNational Bank of Egypt

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+13.8 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.50

LowEdge +13.8%
Our model53.8%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Abu Qair Semad badge

Abu Qair Semad

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
National Bank of Egypt badge

National Bank of Egypt

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model78.4%
The market77.5%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.29

Draw No Bet

National Bank of Egypt (DNB)

Miss
Our model60.2%
The market68.5%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.46

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.8%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market40.0%
Edge
+13.8
Odds
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.3%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market36.4%
Edge
+17.3
Odds
2.75

Match Winner

National Bank of Egypt Win

Miss
Our model47.2%
The market52.4%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5% · actual

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.