Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Academica badgeAcademicavsLusitânia Lourosa badgeLusitânia Lourosa

0 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
52.1%
Edge
+1.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

LowEdge +1.9%
Our model54.0%
The market52.1%

The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Academica badge

Academica

Attack61
Defence45
Form59
Lusitânia Lourosa badge

Lusitânia Lourosa

Attack51
Defence39
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market75.8%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
1.32

Draw No Bet

Academica (DNB)

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model60.1%
The market58.1%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market52.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market58.0%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.65

Match Winner

Academica Win

Miss
Our model42.1%
The market43.9%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
2.28

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.6%

1-1

13.9%

2-1

9.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.