Academicavs
Trofense
3 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 74.1%
- Market said
- 66.7%
- Edge
- +7.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.50
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectAcademica Win
Match Winner · best price 1.50
The market underrated this by 7.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Academica
Trofense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Match Winner
Academica Win
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 1.50
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Academica (DNB)
- Edge
- +10.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -12.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.8
- Odds
- 5.46
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
21.1%
2-0
15.7%
0-0
10.8%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.