League Two · 5 September 2026AI PICK
Accrington STvs
Crawley Town
3 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 52.8%
- Edge
- +8.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83
The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
Accrington ST (DNB)
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.64
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.4
- Odds
- 1.83
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 2.01
Match Winner
Accrington ST Win
- Edge
- -4.0
- Odds
- 2.12
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 6.09
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.3%
1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.9%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.