Derde Divisie badgeDerde Divisie · 29 August 2026AI PICK

ACV badgeACVvsDVS 33 Ermelo badgeDVS 33 Ermelo

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
48.5%
Edge
+9.7 pts
Best odds
2.06

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.06

MediumEdge +9.7%
Our model58.2%
The market48.5%

The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

ACV badge

ACV

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
DVS 33 Ermelo badge

DVS 33 Ermelo

Attack10
Defence42
Form0

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +12.5%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market77.5%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
1.29

Draw No Bet

ACV (DNB)

Edge +22.0%Void
Our model86.5%
The market64.5%
Edge
+22.0
Odds
1.55

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market48.5%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.06

Match Winner

ACV Win

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model57.0%
The market54.3%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.84

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.7%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market47.2%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
2.12

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model23.8%
The market27.4%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
3.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

23.8%

2-0

18.6%

0-0

17.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.