ACVvs
DVS 33 Ermelo
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.2%
- Market said
- 48.5%
- Edge
- +9.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.06
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.06
The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
ACV
DVS 33 Ermelo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 1.29
Draw No Bet
ACV (DNB)
- Edge
- +22.0
- Odds
- 1.55
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.7
- Odds
- 2.06
Match Winner
ACV Win
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.84
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.7
- Odds
- 2.12
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 3.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
23.8%
2-0
18.6%
0-0
17.5%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.