Liga de Ascenso · 7 September 2026AI PICK
AD Carmelitavs
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 58.1%
- Edge
- +3.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.72
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72
The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
AD Carmelita
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.26
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.72
Draw No Bet
AD Carmelita (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.64
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.58
Match Winner
AD Carmelita Win
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 2.09
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.0% · actual
1-1
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.