Liga de Ascenso badgeLiga de Ascenso · 9 August 2026AI PICK

AD Carmelita badgeAD CarmelitavsSanta Ana badgeSanta Ana

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
54.5%
Markets called
2 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 3

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

LowEdge -2.6%
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

AD Carmelita badge

AD Carmelita

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
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Santa Ana

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +20.3%
Our model72.7%
The market52.4%
Edge
+20.3
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

AD Carmelita (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

AD Carmelita Win

Edge +16.8%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market26.3%
Edge
+16.8
Odds
3.80

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.