Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 22 August 2026AI PICK

AD Ceuta FC badgeAD Ceuta FCvsLas Palmas badgeLas Palmas

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Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
47.9%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

LowEdge +5.8%
Our model53.7%
The market47.9%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

AD Ceuta FC badge

AD Ceuta FC

Attack59
Defence30
Form40
Las Palmas badge

Las Palmas

Attack64
Defence44
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.3%
The market75.2%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Close
Our model53.7%
The market47.9%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Las Palmas (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.6%
The market56.2%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

Las Palmas Win

Correct
Our model39.1%
The market41.0%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
2.44

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

12.7%

1-2

8.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.