Segunda División · 16 May 2026AI PICK
AD Ceuta FCvs
Malaga
1 - 4Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.4%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +3.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 1.67
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Malaga Win
- Edge
- -8.5
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
Malaga (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.78
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.1%
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.