Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 18 April 2026AI PICK

AD Marco 09 badgeAD Marco 09vsFafe badgeFafe

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+1.1 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +1.1%
Our model55.2%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

AD Marco 09 badge

AD Marco 09

Attack42
Defence40
Form38
Fafe badge

Fafe

Attack69
Defence56
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market59.9%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

AD Marco 09 (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

AD Marco 09 Win

Our model40.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.