Liga 3 · 9 August 2026AI PICK
AD Marco 09vs
Pacos Ferreira
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +4.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
AD Marco 09
Pacos Ferreira
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
AD Marco 09 (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
AD Marco 09 Win
- Edge
- +10.8
- Odds
- 3.10
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.1% · actual
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.