Adelaide Unitedvs
Macarthur
3 - 1Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 67.3%
- Markets called
- 5 of 5 right
- Final score
- 3 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44
MediumEdge -2.1%
Our model67.3%
The market69.4%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Adelaide United
Attack66
Defence46
Form56
Macarthur
Attack49
Defence33
Form31
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model67.3%
The market69.4%
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.44
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model64.6%
The market69.4%
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.44
Draw No Bet
Adelaide United (DNB)
Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Adelaide United Win
Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model51.8%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.