Derde Divisie - Saturday badgeDerde Divisie - Saturday · 16 May 2026AI PICK

ADO '20 badgeADO '20vsVV Scherpenzeel badgeVV Scherpenzeel

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.9%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+9.2 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

High confidenceEdge +9.2%
Our model70.9%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 9.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

ADO '20 badge

ADO '20

Attack50
Defence66
Form53
VV Scherpenzeel badge

VV Scherpenzeel

Attack58
Defence74
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.2%Miss
Our model70.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.2%Miss
Our model67.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

ADO '20 (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

ADO '20 Win

Correct
Our model46.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
-13.7
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-1

7.6%

2-2

7.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.