Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 17 April 2026AI PICK

ADO Den Haag badgeADO Den HaagvsWaalwijk badgeWaalwijk

5 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.2%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+9.8 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +9.8%
Our model75.2%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 9.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

ADO Den Haag badge

ADO Den Haag

Attack52
Defence100
Form69
Waalwijk badge

Waalwijk

Attack69
Defence60
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model75.2%
The market65.4%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model69.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

ADO Den Haag Win

Correct
Our model47.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

ADO Den Haag (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.