Serie D - Girone C badgeSerie D - Girone C · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Adriese badgeAdriesevsBrian Lignano badgeBrian Lignano

0 - 4
Miss

Full time · 0 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.9%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +7.3%
Our model59.9%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Adriese badge

Adriese

Attack20
Defence29
Form11
Brian Lignano badge

Brian Lignano

Attack78
Defence66
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model59.9%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Brian Lignano (DNB)

Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model42.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Brian Lignano Win

Our model30.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-20.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.