Primera División · 18 July 2026AI PICK

ADTvsUniversitario

1 - 2

Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.7%
Market said: 53.5%
Edge: +4.2 pts
Best odds: 1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +4.2%

Our model57.7%

The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

ADT

Attack58

Defence58

Form49

Universitario

Attack52

Defence71

Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +10.5%

Our model74.2%

The market63.7%

Edge: +10.5
Odds: 1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.2%Correct

Our model57.7%

The market53.5%

Edge: +4.2
Odds: 1.83

Draw No Bet

ADT (DNB)

Miss

Our model56.8%

The market57.1%

Edge: -0.3
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.5%Correct

Our model55.8%

The market46.3%

Edge: +9.5
Odds: 2.10

Match Winner

ADT Win

Edge +8.5%Miss

Our model41.8%

The market33.3%

Edge: +8.5
Odds: 3.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.1%

The market10.5%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

1-2

7.5% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record