1. Division badge1. Division · 25 April 2026AI PICK

AEK Larnaca badgeAEK LarnacavsAris badgeAris

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.2%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+6.4 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +6.4%
Our model64.2%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

AEK Larnaca badge

AEK Larnaca

Attack58
Defence82
Form60
Aris badge

Aris

Attack62
Defence49
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.4%Miss
Our model64.2%
The market57.8%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Close
Our model63.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

AEK Larnaca (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

AEK Larnaca Win

Correct
Our model48.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.