UEFA Europa Conference League · 23 July 2026AI PICK
AEK Larnacavs
Beitar Jerusalem
0 - 1Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.8%
- Market said
- 47.1%
- Edge
- +11.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.7
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
AEK Larnaca (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +8.5
- Odds
- 2.22
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -31.6
- Odds
- 1.20
Match Winner
AEK Larnaca Win
- Edge
- -19.0
- Odds
- 1.77
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.7%
1-1
15.2%
0-0
14.0%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.