Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 14 August 2026AI PICK

AFC Emley badgeAFC EmleyvsCurzon Ashton badgeCurzon Ashton

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.2%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+10.9 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +10.9%
Our model62.2%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

AFC Emley badge

AFC Emley

Attack16
Defence78
Form22
Curzon Ashton badge

Curzon Ashton

Attack32
Defence78
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model75.3%
The market75.2%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.9%Close
Our model62.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +13.7%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market29.4%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
3.40

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model34.5%
The market39.7%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
2.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

34.5%

0-1

22.1%

1-0

12.1%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.