AFC Hornchurchvs
Kidderminster Harriers
3 - 0Correct
Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.7%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +5.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
MediumEdge +5.1%
Our model60.7%
The market55.6%
The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model72.7%
The market76.9%
- Edge
- -4.2
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model60.7%
The market55.6%
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Kidderminster Harriers (DNB)
Miss
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model53.8%
The market60.7%
- Edge
- -6.9
- Odds
- 1.62
Match Winner
Kidderminster Harriers Win
Miss
Our model43.3%
The market43.5%
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 2.30
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.