League One badgeLeague One · 30 August 2026AI PICK

AFC Wimbledon badgeAFC WimbledonvsWigan badgeWigan

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
56.0%
Edge
+5.3 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +5.3%
Our model61.3%
The market56.0%

The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

AFC Wimbledon badge

AFC Wimbledon

Attack33
Defence58
Form38
Wigan badge

Wigan

Attack49
Defence38
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +1.0%Miss
Our model75.1%
The market74.1%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.35

Draw No Bet

Wigan (DNB)

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market56.8%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
1.76

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market56.0%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market50.2%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Wigan Win

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model43.2%
The market42.9%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
2.33

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.7%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.