Serie D badgeSerie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Água Santa badgeÁgua SantavsPouso Alegre badgePouso Alegre

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Água Santa Win
Model confidence
57.8%
Markets called
3 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Água Santa Win

Match Winner · best price 1.67

MediumEdge -2.1%
Our model57.8%
The market59.9%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Água Santa badge

Água Santa

Attack44
Defence47
Form42
Pouso Alegre badge

Pouso Alegre

Attack44
Defence35
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Água Santa Win

Correct
Our model57.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Água Santa (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model46.8%
The market45.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Close
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.5%

0-1

14.3%

1-1

11.4%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.