Serie D · 27 June 2026AI PICK
Água Santavs
Velo Clube
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 46.5%
- Edge
- +11.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
MissÁgua Santa Win
Match Winner · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 11.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Água Santa
Velo Clube
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 1.30
Match Winner
Água Santa Win
- Edge
- +11.3
- Odds
- 2.15
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -9.4
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -6.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Água Santa (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 7.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.3%
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.0% · actual
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.