Serie D badgeSerie D · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Águia de Marabá badgeÁguia de MarabávsABC badgeABC

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.8%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+11.4 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +11.4%
Our model63.8%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 11.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Águia de Marabá badge

Águia de Marabá

Attack83
Defence42
Form60
ABC badge

ABC

Attack83
Defence55
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model71.6%
The market76.9%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.4%Correct
Our model63.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Águia de Marabá (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.7%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Águia de Marabá Win

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model36.4%
The market32.3%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
3.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.