Primera A badgePrimera A · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Águilas Doradas badgeÁguilas DoradasvsMillonarios badgeMillonarios

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
45.4%
Edge
+14.0 pts
Best odds
2.11

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.11

MediumEdge +14.0%
Our model59.4%
The market45.4%

The market underrated this by 14.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Águilas Doradas badge

Águilas Doradas

Attack56
Defence44
Form55
Millonarios badge

Millonarios

Attack76
Defence54
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model75.5%
The market75.8%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.0%Close
Our model59.4%
The market45.4%
Edge
+14.0
Odds
2.11

Draw No Bet

Millonarios (DNB)

Void
Our model58.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model52.7%
The market52.5%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Millonarios Win

Miss
Our model43.8%
The market45.9%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
2.18

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.92

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.8%

1-1

10.4% · actual

2-1

7.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.