Allsvenskan badgeAllsvenskan · 2 August 2026AI PICK

AIK Stockholm badgeAIK StockholmvsOrgryte IS badgeOrgryte IS

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Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
39.9%
Edge
+13.9 pts
Best odds
2.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.40

LowEdge +13.9%
Our model53.8%
The market39.9%

The market underrated this by 13.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

AIK Stockholm badge

AIK Stockholm

Attack41
Defence55
Form49
Orgryte IS badge

Orgryte IS

Attack33
Defence31
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model74.8%
The market85.5%
Edge
-10.7
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.9%Close
Our model53.8%
The market39.9%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
2.40

Draw No Bet

AIK Stockholm (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market45.2%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

AIK Stockholm Win

Miss
Our model50.5%
The market67.6%
Edge
-17.1
Odds
1.48

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.1%
The market12.7%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.1%

1-1

14.4%

0-0

10.7%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.