Premier League badgePremier League · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Akhmat badgeAkhmatvsNizhny Novgorod badgeNizhny Novgorod

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+13.9 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86

MediumEdge +13.9%
Our model67.7%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 13.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Akhmat badge

Akhmat

Attack39
Defence43
Form36
Nizhny Novgorod badge

Nizhny Novgorod

Attack37
Defence45
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.9%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market53.8%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
1.86

Match Winner

Akhmat Win

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model54.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Akhmat (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model45.4%
The market54.3%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.