Premier League badgePremier League · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Akhmat badgeAkhmatvsSpartak Moscow badgeSpartak Moscow

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.5%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+24.2 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

High confidenceEdge +24.2%
Our model74.5%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 24.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Akhmat badge

Akhmat

Attack62
Defence100
Form73
Spartak Moscow badge

Spartak Moscow

Attack60
Defence94
Form77

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market76.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.2%Correct
Our model74.5%
The market50.3%
Edge
+24.2
Odds
1.94

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.3%Correct
Our model73.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+18.3
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Akhmat (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Akhmat Win

Edge +17.7%Miss
Our model43.3%
The market25.6%
Edge
+17.7
Odds
3.91

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.1%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

7.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.