Premier League · 1 August 2026AI PICK

AkronvsRubin

1 - 2

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.4%
Market said: 44.2%
Edge: +13.2 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +13.2%

Our model57.4%

The market44.2%

The market underrated this by 13.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Akron

Attack50

Defence58

Form60

Rubin

Attack53

Defence100

Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.3%Correct

Our model74.8%

The market73.5%

Edge: +1.3
Odds: 1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.2%Correct

Our model57.4%

The market44.2%

Edge: +13.2
Odds: 2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.4%Correct

Our model57.2%

The market52.8%

Edge: +4.4
Odds: 1.82

Draw No Bet

Akron (DNB)

Miss

Our model56.2%

The market57.1%

Edge: -0.9
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Akron Win

Edge +11.3%Miss

Our model43.6%

The market32.3%

Edge: +11.3
Odds: 3.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model8.6%

The market9.8%

Edge: -1.2
Odds: 10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

11.4%

1-2

8.1% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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