Stars League badgeStars League · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Al Ahli Doha badgeAl Ahli DohavsLusail City badgeLusail City

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
39.1%
Edge
+22.2 pts
Best odds
2.56

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.56

MediumEdge +22.2%
Our model61.3%
The market39.1%

The market underrated this by 22.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Al Ahli Doha badge

Al Ahli Doha

Attack50
Defence23
Form8
Lusail City badge

Lusail City

Attack8
Defence30
Form0

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Al Ahli Doha (DNB)

Edge +16.8%Void
Our model90.3%
The market73.5%
Edge
+16.8
Odds
1.36

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market88.5%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.13

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.2%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market39.1%
Edge
+22.2
Odds
2.56

Match Winner

Al Ahli Doha Win

Miss
Our model57.0%
The market62.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +14.8%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market39.1%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
2.56

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model22.2%
The market25.4%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
3.93

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

22.2%

2-0

19.6%

0-0

14.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.