Division 1 badgeDivision 1 · 21 April 2026AI PICK

Al Diriyah badgeAl DiriyahvsAl-Raed badgeAl-Raed

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
82.0%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+16.6 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +16.6%
Our model82.0%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 16.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Al Diriyah badge

Al Diriyah

Attack87
Defence91
Form73
Al-Raed badge

Al-Raed

Attack66
Defence61
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market90.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.11

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.6%Correct
Our model82.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
+16.6
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.4%Correct
Our model71.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+17.4
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Al Diriyah Win

Edge +8.2%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Al Diriyah (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.