Second Division · 30 August 2026AI PICK
Al-Gharafa Bvs
Al-Markhiya
0 - 3Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 59.5%
- Edge
- +1.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.68
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.68
The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Al-Gharafa B
Al-Markhiya
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -6.8
- Odds
- 1.24
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.68
Draw No Bet
Al-Markhiya (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 1.64
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.68
Match Winner
Al-Markhiya Win
- Edge
- -6.3
- Odds
- 2.02
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.55
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.