Second Division badgeSecond Division · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Al-Markhiya badgeAl-MarkhiyavsLusail City badgeLusail City

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Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+13.4 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +13.4%
Our model67.5%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 13.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Al-Markhiya badge

Al-Markhiya

Attack56
Defence53
Form49
Lusail City badge

Lusail City

Attack58
Defence45
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.4%Close
Our model67.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.4
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.7%Miss
Our model65.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Al-Markhiya (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Al-Markhiya Win

Miss
Our model44.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.