Premier League · 20 May 2026AI PICK

AL MasryvsAl Ahly

0 - 2

Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.3%
Market said: 57.5%
Edge: +3.8 pts
Best odds: 1.74

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.74

MediumEdge +3.8%

Our model61.3%

The market57.5%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

AL Masry

Attack64

Defence50

Form53

Al Ahly

Attack67

Defence57

Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market80.6%

Edge: +4.4
Odds: 1.24

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct

Our model61.3%

The market57.5%

Edge: +3.8
Odds: 1.74

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Miss

Our model58.3%

The market53.5%

Edge: +4.8
Odds: 1.87

Draw No Bet

AL Masry (DNB)

Miss

Our model51.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -6.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

AL Masry Win

Edge +21.6%Miss

Our model43.2%

The market21.6%

Edge: +21.6
Odds: 4.63

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%

Our model11.2%

The market9.8%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

0-1

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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