Premier League badgePremier League · 22 August 2026AI PICK

AL Masry badgeAL MasryvsSmouha SC badgeSmouha SC

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+9.4 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25

LowEdge +9.4%
Our model53.8%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

AL Masry badge

AL Masry

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Smouha SC badge

Smouha SC

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.2%
The market80.6%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

AL Masry (DNB)

Correct
Our model59.4%
The market59.9%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.4%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market44.4%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
2.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.5%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market38.2%
Edge
+15.5
Odds
2.62

Match Winner

AL Masry Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
-11.8
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.