Division 1 badgeDivision 1 · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Al-Raed badgeAl-RaedvsAbha badgeAbha

5 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model67.5%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Al-Raed badge

Al-Raed

Attack57
Defence69
Form51
Abha badge

Abha

Attack59
Defence85
Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market61.7%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Al-Raed (DNB)

Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Al-Raed Win

Our model41.3%
The market45.5%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

7.9%

1-2

7.9%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.