La Liga badgeLa Liga · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Alaves badgeAlavesvsBarcelona badgeBarcelona

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
79.7%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+13.0 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +13.0%
Our model79.7%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 13.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Alaves badge

Alaves

Attack64
Defence33
Form38
Barcelona badge

Barcelona

Attack94
Defence84
Form89

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.0%Miss
Our model79.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.5%Miss
Our model70.9%
The market69.4%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Alaves (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Alaves Win

Edge +0.9%
Our model31.2%
The market30.3%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
3.30

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.